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WINNING THE
UNCERTAINTY GAME
This book is about the challenges that emerge for organizations from an ever faster
changing world. While useful at their time, several management tools, including
classic strategic planning processes, will no longer suffice to address these chal-
lenges in a timely and comprehensive fashion. While individual management tools
are still valid to solve specific problems, they need to be employed based on a clear
understanding of what the greater challenge is and how they need to be combined
and prioritized with other approaches. In order to do so, companies can apply
the clarity of thinking from the military with regard to which leadership level is
responsible for what and how these levels need to interact in order to produce a
single aligned response to an outside opportunity or threat. Finally, the tool of
business wargaming, while known for some time, proves to be an ideal approach
to quickly and effectively bring all leadership levels together, align them around
a common objective and lay the groundwork for effective implementation of tar-
geted responses that will keep the organization competitive and in the game for
the long run.
The book offers a comprehensive introduction to business wargaming, including
a historical account, a classification of different types of games and a number of
specific real-world examples.
This book is targeted at practicing managers dealing with the aforementioned
challenges, as well as for students of business and strategy at every level.
Daniel F. Oriesek
is a Swiss general staff officer, civil servant and entrepreneur.
After many years in banking and strategy consulting, while pursuing his military
career as a reserve officer, he served two tours in the Balkans and in 2014 became
a full-time employee of the Swiss Department of Defense. He serves on the board
of a real estate company co-founded by him and has participated, designed and
conducted numerous business and military wargames.
Jan Oliver Schwarz
is a professor of strategic management and leadership at the
ESB Business School, Reutlingen University, Germany and a senior advisor at the
Institute for Innovation and Change Methodologies (IICM), Munich, Germany.
His academic and consulting work specializes in future-oriented strategy devel-
opment, which includes implementing corporate foresight processes and applying
approaches such as scenario planning and business wargaming.
WINNING THE
UNCERTAINTY GAME
Turning Strategic Intent into
Results with Wargaming
Daniel F. Oriesek and
Jan Oliver Schwarz
First published 2021
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
and by Routledge
52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, NY 10017
Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business
© 2021 Daniel F. Oriesek and Jan Oliver Schwarz
The right of Daniel F. Oriesek and Jan Oliver Schwarz to be identified as
authors of this work has been asserted by them in accordance with sections 77
and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or
utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now
known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any
information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from
the publishers.
Trademark notice:
Product or corporate names may be trademarks or
registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation
without intent to infringe.
British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: Schwarz, Jan Oliver author. | Oriesek, Daniel F., author.
Title: Winning the uncertainty game : turning strategic intent into results
with wargaming / Jan Oliver Schwarz and Daniel Oriesek.
Description: Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon ; New York, NY : Routledge, 2021.
| Includes bibliographical references and index. |
Identifiers: LCCN 2020031724 (print) | LCCN 2020031725 (ebook) | ISBN
9780367418526 (hardback) | ISBN 9780367853594 (ebook)
Subjects: LCSH: Management games. | Strategic planning--Simulation
games. |
War games.
Classification: LCC HD30.26 .O75 2008 (print) | LCC HD30.26 (ebook) | DDC
658.4/012--dc23
LC record available at
https://lccn.loc.gov/2020031724
LC ebook record available at
https://lccn.loc.gov/2020031725
ISBN: 978-0-367-41852-6 (hbk)
ISBN: 978-0-367-85359-4 (ebk)
Typeset in Times New Roman
by KnowledgeWorks Global Ltd.
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