2020 Henley Passport Index and Global Mobility Report.pdf

(1819 KB) Pobierz
Henley Passport Index
and Global Mobility Report
2020
“More than ever before, migration touches all states and
people in an era of deepening globalization.”
United Nations
World Migration Report 2018
CONTENTS
Introduction
Global mobility today
7
Part 1: Global Mobility Trends
Wealth migration
Talent migration
Climate migration
Forced migration
8
9
10
11
Part 2: Regional Mobility Trends
Asia-Pacific
The Americas
Europe and the UK
Russia and the CIS
The Middle East
Africa
The Caribbean
12
12
13
13
14
14
15
Part 3: Trends in Travel Freedom
Insights from the Henley Passport Index
The 2020 Henley Passport Index
Passport Power Worldwide
Biggest Climbers and Fallers on the Henley Passport Index: 2010 – 2020
The relationship between political, economic, and travel freedom
16
18
20
22
24
Part 4: Investment Migration
Matching global supply with growing demand
28
CONTRIBUTORS
DR. PARAG KHANNA
Founder and Managing Partner of FutureMap,
a data- and scenario-based strategic advisory
firm headquartered in Singapore
DR. CHRISTIAN H. KÄLIN
Expert in investor immigration and
citizenship-by-investment and Chairman
of Henley & Partners
DR. JUERG STEFFEN
CEO of Henley & Partners
PROF. SIMONE BERTOLI
Professor of Economics at Université Clermont
Auvergne (CERDI) and a Research Fellow at the
Institute of Labor Economics
PHILIP REUCHLIN
Program Director at
Andan Foundation
PROF. ROSEMARY LYSTER
Professor of Climate and Environmental Law
at the University of Sydney and Co-Director
of the Australian Centre for Climate and
Environmental Law
NICOLE SMOLINSKE
Independent Specialist Consultant on
Asia-Pacific Region
Copyright © 2020 by Henley & Partners.
This report and the individual contributions contained
in it are protected under copyright. No part of this
report may be reproduced, stored, or transmitted in any
form or by any means without prior written permission.
The H&P monogram and Henley & Partners are among
the registered and unregistered trademarks of Henley &
Partners Holdings Ltd. All rights reserved.
This report is provided for general information purposes
only and can in no way substitute legal or other
professional advice. While the publisher and authors
have undertaken great care in preparing this report, they
cannot guarantee its correctness and completeness and
make no representation or warranties with respect to the
accuracy or completeness of the contents of this report.
Any comments and suggestions, praise and criticism will
be gratefully received. If you feel that a particular topic
should be added to this report, please let us know via
the contact page on henleyglobal.com
For general information on our other publications
and services, please visit henleyglobal.com
DR. SUZETTE HAUGHTON
Senior Lecturer in the Department of
Government at the University of the West
Indies in Jamaica
RYAN CUMMINGS
Independent consultant to international news
outlets, publications, and think-tanks, and a
Director at Signal Risk
DR. LORRAINE CHARLES
Research Associate at the Centre for Business
Research at the University of Cambridge
MADELEINE SUMPTION
Director of the Migration Observatory
at the University of Oxford
DR . MARINA SOROKA
Independent scholar and published author
whose field of expertise is the history of
European international relations
DR. HEIDI JANE SMITH
Research Professor in the Economics
department at the Universidad
Iberoamericana in Mexico City
DOMINIC VOLEK
Managing Partner, Member of the
Management Board, and Head of Southeast
Asia at Henley & Partners
UĞUR ALTUNDAL
Researcher in political science at Syracuse
University
ÖMER ZARPLI
Researcher in political science at the
University of Pittsburgh
GLOBAL MOBILITY TODAY
Introduction
by
DR. PARAG KHANNA
Dr. Parag Khanna is Founder and Managing Partner of FutureMap, a data-
and scenario-based strategic advisory firm headquartered in Singapore.
With more to come in 2020, last year represented a crucial milestone in
the world’s adaptation to migration as a permanent condition of global
life. There will always be ebbs and flows, but no longer an on–off switch.
If anything, we must expand our horizons to account for and
categorize the growing varieties of migration encompassing the
movements of talent, labor, wealth, refugees, and other groups
whose behavior reflects shifting realities on the ground.
Migration, as with almost everything else, is a function of
supply and demand — and, increasingly, it is accepted that
more migration creates more demand, stimulating badly
needed economic growth. As the world economy heads into a
synchronized slowdown, we must view migration as part of the
solution, not the problem.
A growing sense of pragmatism is revealed in the past year’s
gradual convergence between East and West on migration issues.
In 2019, it was noted that Western politics remained negatively
obsessed with migration — both in terms of numbers of migrants
and political decision-making over migration— while Asia in
particular has been more open and pragmatic.
The present circumstances suggest the emergence of a set of
policies and practices being adopted worldwide that take a less
politicized and more structured approach to migration, and
2020 may prove decisive in determining whether important
countries can shift migration from politics to policy.
As the US nears full employment, there has been a recognition
that H1-B visa issuance continues to be an engine of investment
and innovation. The reelection of Canada’s liberal government
under Justin Trudeau portends a continuation of the country’s
massively expanded annual rate of migrant inflows. Whereas
Canada’s approach resembles the UK’s Highly Skilled Migrant
Programme, the UK itself continues to struggle with Brexit and
its impact on migration. It seems likely that the slowing economy
and lack of single market access will continue to deter significant
new foreign investment and inbound migration. At the same
time, the education market has remained resilient as US–China
trade and visa tensions and the pound’s devaluation have made
UK tuition more affordable for foreigners. There is therefore a
consensus that foreign students are critical for the UK economy,
and that view is likely to hold.
In continental Europe, the diminished migrant inflows across
the Mediterranean have enabled a steadying of politics in core
powers such as Germany, while in southern Europe changes in
leadership in Greece and Italy have brought about a new focus
on essential structural economic reforms rather than the political
scapegoating of migrants.
The Arab world and Africa will continue to pose risks emerging
from both the economic and environmental arenas. The renewed
waves of protests across the region such as in Lebanon and Iraq
are a reminder that fundamental governance challenges have yet
to be systematically addressed and are potentially just a trigger
away from unleashing a new migrant wave.
2020 may prove decisive in
determining whether important
countries can shift migration
from politics to policy.
Asia remains a dynamic theater and laboratory for international
migration. The US–China trade war has accelerated the shift
of Western investment out of China towards Southeast Asia,
bringing a new wave of foreign talent into ASEAN countries that
have been opening to greater migration through streamlined visa
and residency policies.
Despite the political turbulence and climate volatility that will
continue to provide unpleasant surprises and sudden surges in
migration, it is the growing acceptance of these and other realities
that is conditioning governments to appreciate that migration is
a force greater than each of us. The solution to migration is not
resistance or mitigation, but pragmatic adaptation. It has been
win–win for all of history, and will continue to be in the future
as well.
6
7

Plik z chomika:

Inne pliki z tego folderu:

Inne foldery tego chomika:

Zgłoś jeśli naruszono regulamin